Railway Budget 2010-11: Review and Assessment
Railway Budget 2010-11: Review and Assessment* This article presents an overview of the Railway Budget for 2010-11 and reviews the financial performance of the Railways during 2009-10. The Railway Budget 2010-11 has taken various policy initiatives focusing on resumption of more train services, expansion of connectivity, improvement of passenger amenities and revenue augmentation of the Railways. It accorded priority to upgradation of stations, technological upgradation, expansion of wagon capacity, multi-functional complexes, ticketing and reservation, safety and security. The Budget also proposed specific welfare measures for employees of Railways, such as, hospitals, educational institutions and housing. There is also proposal for reduction of service charges for passengers. Railways have initiated an accounting reforms project that would enable it to move over gradually to an accrual based accounting system. The financial performance indicators such as operating ratio, net surplus and return on capital have been estimated to improve during 2010-11. Overview The Railway Budget for 2010-11 presented to the Parliament on February 24, 2010 provided estimates for 2010-11 and the revised estimates for 2009-10. Several measures in respect of passenger amenities/ services, upgradation of stations, safety and security, staff welfare and health, reduction of carbon footprints, and dedicated corridors have been announced in the Budget. The Budget has also focused on public-private partnership (PPP) with a plan to raise Rs.10,000 to Rs.20,000 crore through this route during 2010-2011. In this regard, a special task force will be set up to clear proposals for investment in hundred days. Further, six high speed passenger corridors would be identified and executed through PPP mode for which a National High Speed Rail Authority would be set up. On financial front, the gross traffic receipts are expected to grow by 7.3 per cent during 2010-11, lower than 10.6 per cent in 2009-10(RE). The freight earnings and passenger earnings are budgeted to grow by 6.4 per cent and 8.6 per cent during 2010-11, lower than 9.9 per cent and 9.7 per cent, respectively during 2009-10(RE). However, the working expenses have been budgeted to increase at a substantially lower rate of 4.4 per cent as compared with 16.1 per cent witnessed in 2009-10 (RE) mainly due to overall decline in ordinary net working expenses by 0.8 per cent. Consequently, the financial performance of the Railways is budgeted to show substantial improvement during 2010-11. Net revenue has been estimated to increase sharply by 50.7 per cent during 2010-11 in contrast to a decline of (-) 29.3 per cent in the previous year. Similarly, the net surplus is slated to increase by 233.6 per cent as against a decline of (-) 78.7 per cent in the preceding year. The operating ratio (total working expenses as percentage of total earnings) is also expected to decline to 92.3 per cent during 2010-11 from 94.7 per cent in 2009-10, while the return on capital i.e., ratio of net revenue to Capital-at-Charge and Investment from Capital Fund, will improve to 6.9 per cent from 5.3 per cent. The Annual Plan outlay for 2010-11 has been placed at Rs.41,426 crore about 3 per cent higher than the previous year. The article is organised into four sections. Section I contains the major policy initiatives announced in the Railway Budget 2010-11. Section II reviews the financial performance in the Revised Estimates for 2009-10. The Budget Estimates for 2010-11 are discussed in Section III. The note concludes with an overall assessment of the Railway Budget 2010-11. Section I: Major Policy Initiatives The Railway Budget 2010-11 proposes to continue with the process of improving the quality of passenger services, modernisation, technological upgradation, greater application of information technology and enhancement of safety and security measures. It has also proposed to earn untapped revenue by way of branding/ advertising of railway properties (Box 1). New Services The Railway Budget 2010-11 has proposed to introduce: (i) 35 special trains; (ii) 54 new long distance train services; (iii) 28 new short distance passenger train services; (iv) 9 MEMU and 8 DEMU services; (v) Extension of 21 trains; and (vi) increase in frequency of 12 trains. Besides, 6 long route and 4 short distance Duronto train services are to be introduced this year. Further, Suburban services will be augmented in Mumbai, Chennai and Kolkata metropolitan regions. Modernisation and Wagon Manufacturing Factories To augment the production capacity of wagons, it is proposed to set up five state of-the-art wagon factories in Joint venture/ public private partnership mode (JV/PPP). The Chittaranjan Locomotive Works (CLW) will be modernized and capacity augmented from its present level of 200 locomotives to 275, besides modernising Integral Coach Factory at Chennai. A Kisan Vision Project has also been proposed by identifying six locations. To give a helping hand to farmers, it is proposed to set up a refrigerated container factory on a PPP mode. Box: 1: Major Policy Initiatives/Proposed New Projects
Dedicated Corridors A Project on Dedicated Freight Corridor will be revamped to ensure timely implementation of the project. DFC is now declared as the “Diamond Rail Corridor” project of the Indian Railways. Indian Railways propose to develop high speed corridors of 250 to 350 kmph speed and already six corridors have been identified. These projects will be executed through PPP mode. A National High Speed Rail Authority for planning, standard setting, implementing and monitoring high speed passenger rail corridors would be set up. Public Private Partnership The Budget has decided to set up a special task force to clear proposals for investments within 100 days. Improving Passenger Amenities and Customer Satisfaction For improving passenger amenities and customer satisfaction, it has been decided to take initiatives like SMS updates of reservation status and punctuality of trains to passengers, SMS updates on the movement of wagons to freight customers, Double-decker train-sets matching the best in global standards, and RFID technology for tracking of wagons carrying coal and iron ore. Railways propose to introduce modern trolleys at all important stations. The Budget has also proposed to induct e-ticket based mobile vans for issuing reservation tickets in important places. Upgradation of Station and Safety & Security It has been proposed to develop 10 more stations to be converted to World Class Stations and 94 Stations have been declared as Adarsh Stations. Security of women passengers will be improved by raising 12 companies of women RPF personnel to be named as Mahila Vahini. Hospitals, Educational Institutions and Training With the cooperation of Ministry of Health and Ministry of Human Resource Development, about 400 hospitals and diagnostic centres, 50 Kendriya Vidyalayas etc. would be set up. A State-of-the art advanced loco pilot training centre is also proposed to be set up at Kharagpur. Further, a centre for Railway Research is proposed to be set up in Indian Institute of Technology, Kharagpur to give thrust to indigenisation. It has also been decided to open training institutions for the benefit of railway personnel from South and South-east Asian countries. Staff Welfare & Health The Budget proposed a new scheme of “House for All” that will provide residences to all railway employees in the next ten years. Concessions on Passenger and Freight Fares A reduction of Rs.100 per wagon in freight charges for food-grains for domestic use and kerosene to reduce the hardship being faced by the common people due to the high inflationary trend has been affected. Further, the technicians of regional film industry when travelling for film production related work will be eligible for 75 per cent concession in second class sleeper, and 50 per cent concession in higher classes in all trains. Concession to cancer patients has been increased from 75 per cent to 100 per cent in 3 AC and Sleeper Class. Service Charge on e-ticket Maximum service charge on e-tickets, which is Rs.15 for Sleeper Class and Rs.40 for AC Class, has been reduced to Rs.10 for Sleeper Class and Rs.20 for AC Class. Freight Business Several measures have been proposed to improve the proportion of freight traffic moving on Railways. Some of them are: (i) a modified wagon investment scheme for high capacity general purpose and special purpose wagons, (ii) a policy to permit private operators to invest in infrastructure on the lines of container train operators, and run special freight train for commodities such as automobiles, vegetable oil, molsasses etc., (iii) taking further the concept of mega-logistics hubs with setting up automobile and ancillary hubs at 10 locations, (iv) extending the Roll-On-Roll-Off service to zonal railways in a phased manner, (v) introducing one rake of road-cum-railer vehicle on trial basis to provide door-to-door service to railways freight customers, and (vi) a premium tatkal service for parcel and freight movement. Carbon foot-print It is proposed to introduce at least ten rakes with green toilets and install on diesel locomotives a GPS-based optimised driver guidance system which has shown 8-10 per cent saving in fuel consumption. Further, a Rail Eco-park to conserve, protect and promote Railways wetlands and forest areas would be set up. Progress on Accounting Reforms Railways have already initiated an accounting reforms project that would enable it to move over gradually to an accrual based accounting system. Earnings from non-core business The untapped revenue potential from branding/advertising of railway properties will be harnessed to significantly augment the railways earnings, which will support the planned investment of Railways. National Projects A Master Plan for the development of rail infrastructure in the North-East region would be drawn. In the North-East, ten projects have been declared as National Projects and adequate funds are being provided. The Government is giving priority in providing rail connections to the neighbouring countries and surveys for the five new lines have been conducted for rail connectivity with Nepal. Gauge Conversion and Doubling Target of 800 km has been fixed for Gauge Conversion in 2010-11, while gauge doubling of 700 km has been planned during the year. Railway Electrification Indian Railways would be completing about 2,300 kms. of electrification in the first three years of the XI Plan against the target of 3,500 kms. for the five year period. Another 2,000 kms. are planned in the remaining two years. Section II: Revised Estimates 2009-101 The Revised Estimates (RE) for 2009-10 showed an increase of 0.3 per cent in the freight earnings but decline of 1.0 per cent in the passenger earnings from the budget estimates to Rs.58,716 crore and Rs.24,057 crore, respectively. Thus, the gross traffic receipts in 2009-10 (RE) at Rs.88,356 crore were marginally lower by 0.1 per cent compared to the Budget Estimates (BE). On the other hand, the total working expenses increased to Rs.83,440 crore, mainly due to higher ordinary working expenses by 4.1 per cent to Rs.65,500 crore. Consequently, the net revenue and the surplus of the Railways declined substantially to Rs.6,490 crore and Rs.951 crore in the Revised Estimates from Rs.8,121crore and Rs.2,642 crore in the BE. As a result, both the operating ratio and the net return on capital investment deteriorated to 94.7 per cent and 5.3 per cent, respectively, from 92.5 per cent and 6.6 per cent in BE (Statement 1). Section III: Budget Estimates: 2010-112 Gross Traffic Receipts The growth in gross traffic receipts for 2010-11, budgeted at Rs.94,756 crore, would moderate to 7.3 per cent from 10.6 per cent in 2009-10 (RE), with all the components contributing to the moderation. Freight earnings at Rs.62,489 crore will grow by 6.4 per cent during 2010-11 lower than 9.9 per cent in the previous year. The passenger earnings at Rs.26,126 crore would increase by 8.6 per cent as compared with 9.7 per cent in the preceding year (Statement 1). Working Expenses Total working expenses for 2010-11 budgeted at Rs.87,100 crore are expected to increase at a much lower rate of 4.4 per cent than 16.1 per cent in 2009-10, primarily due to decline in ordinary net working expenses by 0.8 per cent. All components of net ordinary working expenses, except fuel, are expected to decline during 2010-11 (Statement 2 and Chart 1). Net Financial Results The net revenue (total receipt minus total expenditure) of the railways is budgeted to increase to Rs.9,781 crore during 2010-11 from Rs.6,490 crore in 2009- 10. Both the total dividend payment and net surplus i.e., net revenue less total dividend payable, would increase to Rs.6,608 crore and Rs.3,173 crore, respectively. The operating ratio (total working expenses to total earnings ratio) is projected to improve, albeit marginally during 2010-11 on account of better expenditure management reflected in significant moderation in the increase of working expenses. Similarly, the return on capital i.e., ratio of net revenue to Capitalat- Charge and Investment from Capital Fund, would improve to 6.9 per cent from 5.3 per cent (Table 1).
Plan Outlay The Annual Plan outlay for 2010-11 has been placed at Rs.41,426 crore, showing an increase of 2.8 per cent over the previous year’s plan. Financing pattern of the plan outlay would be through internal resources (35.1 per cent), extra budgetary resources including market borrowings (24.5 per cent), gross budgetary support (38.3 per cent), and diesel cess (2.1 per cent). Section IV: Overall Assessment The financial performance of the Railways deteriorated further in the revised estimates for 2009-10. The budget estimates for 2010-11, however, indicate reversal of this trend with both the operating ratio and the return on capital slated to improve. It may be pointed out that the budgeted improvement in the financial indicators during 2010-11 has been largely expenditure - led with sharp moderation in working expenses. However, the realization of this budgeted improvement in the financial position of Railways would also hinge upon the envisaged increase in the freight business and passenger earnings, which may not be difficult with sustained economic recovery and turn around in international trade. Railways have initiated accounting reforms project that would enable it to shift gradually to an accrual - based accounting system. Among others, the Budget has emphasised on mobilising resources for investment through PPP. Several measures have been proposed for enhancing safety and security, modernisation and development of infrastructure, improvement in the welfare of railway employees and increasing the carrying capacity of railways. The reduction in freight charge for foodgrain for domestic use and kerosene would help in keeping price level of these commodities under control.
* Prepared in the Division of Central Finances of the Department of Economic Analysis and Policy. This article is based on the Railway Budget 2010-11 presented to the Parliament on February 24, 2010. 1 In this section, all comparisons are with respect to the budget estimates for 2009-10 unless stated otherwise. 2 In this Section, all references to the fiscal 2010-11 relate to budget estimates and all comparisons are with respect to the revised estimates for 2009-10, unless stated otherwise. |
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